Northern lights over Surgut tonight — aurora forecast
Live geomagnetic conditions vs what Surgut, Russia actually needs to see the aurora borealis (northern lights).
🟡 Possible tonight
Activity is close to the threshold — worth checking the sky if it's clear and dark.
Kp now
2.33
Tonight's max (forecast)
3.67
Surgut needs
Kp 3.9
Geomagnetic lat.
58.2°
Live data: NOAA SWPC planetary K-index · refreshes every 30 min · get a free storm alert
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What it takes to see the aurora borealis (northern lights) from Surgut
Aurora visibility is set by your geomagnetic latitude — your position relative to Earth's magnetic pole, not the geographic one. Surgut sits at 58.2° geomagnetic. The auroral oval hovers near 66° in quiet conditions and expands toward the equator as geomagnetic storms strengthen: roughly 2° per step of the Kp index. For Surgut that means a moderate-to-strong storm (Kp 3.9+) pushes the oval close enough to see glow on the northern horizon.
How to actually catch it
- Get away from city lights with a clear view of the northern horizon — light pollution is the #1 killer of borderline displays.
- Best window: 22:00–02:00 local time; best seasons: around the equinoxes, and dark winter months at high latitudes.
- Your camera sees more than your eyes: a 5-10s phone night-mode exposure reveals green/red glow invisible to the naked eye.
- Storms spike with little warning — get a free storm alert and check Aurora forecast when Kp jumps.
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FAQ
Can I see the northern lights tonight in Surgut?
Possible but marginal: tonight's Kp is 3.7, close to the Kp 3.9 Surgut needs. Worth a look from a dark spot with a clear northern horizon if the sky is clear. Updated every 30 minutes from NOAA SWPC data.
Can you see the aurora from Surgut?
Yes, when geomagnetic activity is strong enough. Surgut sits at geomagnetic latitude 58.2°, which means the aurora becomes visible on the northern horizon at roughly Kp 3.9 — on many active nights.
What Kp index does Surgut need for aurora?
About Kp 3.9. The auroral oval sits near 66° geomagnetic latitude in quiet conditions and pushes roughly 2° toward the equator with each Kp step; Surgut's geomagnetic latitude is 58.2°. You don't need the oval directly overhead — NOAA notes the aurora can be seen on the horizon from up to 1000 km away, but that reach grows with the storm: this figure credits none of it near the oval, where low-Kp aurora is faint and low, and up to 2.5 Kp at mid-latitudes, where storm aurora is tall and bright.
Which direction should I look for the aurora in Surgut?
North. From Surgut the auroral oval lies toward the north magnetic pole, so the aurora appears low on the northern horizon first. Pick a spot with an open northward view, away from city lights — your phone's night mode picks up glow your eyes miss.
When is the best time to see the aurora?
Around local midnight (22:00–02:00), on dark clear nights away from city lights, and statistically around the equinoxes (March/April and September/October). Solar maximum — happening now — delivers the most storms.
Aurora forecasts for cities near Surgut
- Aurora forecast for Nizhnevartovsk — needs Kp 4
- Aurora forecast for Khanty-Mansiysk — needs Kp 4
- Aurora forecast for Novy Urengoy — needs Kp 1.5
- Aurora forecast for Tyumen — needs Kp 5.3
- Aurora forecast for Salekhard — needs Kp 1.3
- Aurora forecast for Omsk — needs Kp 6
This city elsewhere on Cosmik
More from the sky over Surgut
The aurora isn't the only show: the ISS passes over Surgut on a predictable schedule, the Sun's live flare level tells you when the next storm is brewing, and Cosmik's live 3D map shows everything in orbit right now.
